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Brown Advisory Novices Chase Odds Selection Odds Ballyburn 11/10 Dancing City 7/2 Better Days Ahead 7/1 Gorgeous Tom…
Wednesday 12th March 14:00
Here are our Brown Advisory Novices Chase tips from our expert horse racing analysts Will Smith & David Young. Be sure to take a look at our other Cheltenham betting tips for each race and a list of the latest Cheltenham betting offers which show you which bookies are offering free bets, best odds guaranteed, extra places and much more on the 2025 Cheltenham Festival.
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| Bookie | Selection | Best Odds | Market | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Ballyburn | 4/6 | Win Brown Advisory Novices' Chase |
Place Bet |
|
Ballyburn | 4/6 | Win Brown Advisory Novices' Chase |
Place Bet |
Date of Tips: 12/03/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (08:00 12/03/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
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Sometimes value comes from a big priced each-way selection, as it is much easier to judge an overpriced horse at the outer extremities of the market. However, value can be just as appropriately judged towards the head of the market.
The lustre and lure of Ballyburn was dented by his beating at the hands of the monstrous Sir Gino, but all things considered, to even give Sir Gino a race over 2m at a speed-favouring track on lively ground was probably a career best for Ballyburn.
Since then, Ballyburn has gone on to win the 2m5½f Grade 1 novices’ chase at the Dublin Racing Festival with some ease, pulling clear on the run-in of Croke Park. With each run that he has had, Ballyburn has become more and more professional, and reminds me of a mix between Galopin Des Champs and Bobs Worth.
Some combination for sure, but I genuinely think this horse can challenge Galopin Des Champs in next season’s Gold Cup. If that were to ring true, then the 8/11 you can get about him to win the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase at 2.20 looks still a shade of value to me. Make him your 3-star *** win bet of the meeting at 4/6 with Ladbrokes or Coral.
The form with Croke Park suggests Ballyburn has a good bit in hand of Better Days Ahead, and for all that stablemate Dancing City is a likeable type, you would think he would need very attritional ground to beat Ballyburn.
Beyond that, Gorgeous Tom is a potential improver but would need genuinely good ground to see be seen at his best I feel, and the likes of Stellar Story, Lecky Watson and Quai De Bourbon look like potential Irish National or Punchestown types to me.
There’s a good final field in here and you’d be hard pressed to completely write off any runner but I really do believe that BALLYBURN is just a better horse than his rivals here. He’s 8lbs clear on Official Ratings and he’s shown just how versatile he is by running a very good race in defeat to Sir Gino at the minimum trip on good ground, on a speed track and all while giving the winner 6lbs.
He’s bred to stay, and he was doing his best work at the end of his run last time out in the Dublin Racing Festival. He took the Turners on this course last year and with the ground not likely to be too testing I think he’s at a significant advantage. Hard to oppose and anything odds-against looks good value to me.
Better Days Ahead and Stellar Story might just be the ones to give him most to think about but neither of those look as straightforward as BALLYBURN so I expect him to take this.
BALLYBURN – 2.5 STAR WIN @ 4/6 (Coral)
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| Selection | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ballyburn | 11/10 |
| Dancing City | 7/2 |
| Better Days Ahead | 7/1 |
| Gorgeous Tom | 11/1 |
| Stellar Story | 14/1 |
| Lecky Watson | 14/1 |
| Quai De Bourbon | 16/1 |
| Brown Advisory Chase | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Time | Distance | Type |
| Wed 12/03/2025 | 14:00 | 3m 1/2f | Chase |
The Brown Advisory Novices Chase, formally known as the RSA Chase, is a Grade 1 race that covers a distance of 3 miles. It is open to novice chasers aged five years or older and is run on the Old Course. The RSA Chase features 20 fences to be jumped and notable past winners include Denman, Bobs Worth, and Presenting Percy.
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Previous Tips
2024 Brown Advisory Novices Chase Tips [expired]
by Will Smith…
The second Grade 1 of Wednesday’s cards is the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase, and again, it has a Willie Mullins inmate as general odds-on favourite – the hugely exciting Fact To File.
With 11 entries in total, and the potential for Gaelic Warrior, Embassy Gardens, Jamaico and Grey Dawning to go elsewhere, we could see a field of just 7, but it will be a high quality and select field whichever way connections choose for those with other options.
When considering whether you want to back a horse like Fact To File at odds-on, you have to detach yourself from the hype and the momentum that has built up behind him. On the positive side, the way he has galloped and jumped in his three chase starts to date has been progressive and both visually very impressive, and also evidentially he is extremely high-class, given what the number-crunching on the times he has clocked reveals.
But, on the flip side of that, he is running at an undulating track that takes a bit of knowing, he has tended to jump slightly right (which could be accentuated on the tight Old course), and he is running over further than he has ever gone before, which could also have an effect on that right-handed jumping tendency as his stamina and fatigue levels are tested late on.
He is no Gaelic Warrior when it comes to veering right, but nonetheless it is an angle worth looking at, and he won’t have an easy task by any means, with a whole host of potentially credible rivals like Montys Star, Stay Away Fay, Broadway Boy, Sandor Clegane and most notably should Dan Skelton run him here, Grey Dawning, who I would find it hard not to back each-way if he does.
2023 Brown Advisory Novices Chase Tips [expired]
Surely day one at least met every expectation, if not sublimely surpassed it in the glorious 45 minutes or so when Constitution Hill and Honeysuckle lit up the stage.
One of the main themes was the general up-to-expectation level of performance of the market leaders, and I think that is a theme that will probably carry on through Day Two of the Cheltenham Festival.
That extends itself to the first 5 in the market for the Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle, who I just can’t split – so it’s to the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase at 2.10, that I feel the first betting opportunity of Day Two resides.
Market leader Gerri Colombe looks a potential class apart, and I have no inclination to take him on, but I do feel that utilising the market ‘without Gerri Colombe’ could be the way to go.
There looks to be a plenty of horses who will ensure this is run at an even tempo, and the next two in the market, The Real Whacker and Sir Gerhard, look to be vulnerable on one count or another.
The horse who is overpriced is undoubtedly Olly Murphy’s Thunder Rock, who represents the two best pieces of form coming into this race – the Dipper Novices’ Chase behind The Real Whacker and the Scilly Isles Novices’ Chase behind Gerri Colombe.
So, at 12/1 each-way with Bet365 for 3 places in their market ‘without Gerri Colombe’, Thunder Rock will be stalked into the race, on ground he will enjoy, and at a trip that could unlock improvement.
2020 RSA Chase Tips [expired]
Most of the main players for the RSA Chase have had their prep runs, and as for any market movements between now and the festival, I can see a weight of support coming for Henry De Bromhead’s likeable staying chaser Minella Indo.
Currently 6/1 second favourite, it is another case of a horse that I feel should be nearer favourite. As the jamboree of Festival Preview nights swings into action, it is quite conceivable that Minella Indo is exactly the type of horse that will be talked up hugely – and as a result, he could go off a lot shorter on the day.
The reasons that he will be a popular horse at the preview nights are exactly the same reasons that I fancy him for the race. He won last year’s Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle at the extraordinary odds of 50/1 and went on to confirm that no fluke when winning, in similar no-nonsense fashion, the Grade 1 3m Novices’ Hurdle at the Punchestown Festival.
Henry De Bromhead has seen fit to go straight to the Festival off the back of just two chase runs, which would be a worry to some. But given he went into last year’s Festival having had just two novice hurdle runs, and without a win over hurdles, I don’t see this as a problem at all.
In both chase starts he has jumped well and displayed all the characteristics of a sound and clever staying chaser. Equally adept when meeting one on a long stride as he is when having to shorten.
These are comments that perhaps can’t be applied to current RSA Chase favourite, Champ, who fell on his only chase start at Cheltenham. He does have a big engine but could be vulnerable to confusion at his fences in a big field such as this. He may well be given another run in the Reynoldstown at Ascot, but the only win he has to his name going right-handed was at odds of 1/14 in a lowly Perth maiden hurdle.
Minella Indo has all the hallmarks of being a potential Gold Cup horse next season, and so at odds of 6/1, he looks a good bet to win this year’s RSA.
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