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Kubrat “The Cobra” Pulev (32-3, 14 KOs) defends his WBA Regular world title to challenger Murat “Iron” Gassiev (32-2, 25 KOs) on Friday, December 12, in Dubai, as the main event of the IBA Pro 13 show, live on DAZN.
Despite his advanced age at 44, Pulev is still in great shape, a consummate professional after an extensive amateur and professional boxing career.
After over 30 years of lacing up the gloves, he knows every trick in the book. The 6ft 4in heavyweight uses his jab well, often pawing it out as a defensive tool to keep the distance and to gauge his range. He covers up tightly whenever taking shots in close, rarely taking risks, knowing when tie up, and has a good workrate for someone in their mid-40s. He doesn’t possess much power, as his 43.75% KO ratio suggests; low for a heavyweight.
He is tough too. AJ knocked him down early in their 2020 contest, in the third, but he still stayed in there for a further six rounds.
He likes to box at mid to long range, constantly staying in touching distance to utilise his high output and busy workrate. Despite his knowledge and skills, this style means that he is liable to be caught because he is always there.
His opponent has an almost identical win-loss record. Gassiev has lost twice, once less than Pulev, and they have each won the same number of pro contests at 32. However, the Russian has 25 KOs, which is a third more than the Bulgarian.
Aged 32, former unified world cruiserweight champion Gassiev has two defeats, both times via decision, firstly to Oleksandr Usyk, unanimously, in the WBSS cruiserweight final in 2018; then to Otto Wallin in 2023, via split decision.
He has since bounced back with two stoppage wins in rounds five and six respectively, in 2024 against unbeaten Kem Ljungquist, then against once-beaten Jeremiah Milton four months ago.
In contrast to Pulev, Gassiev had a short amateur career consisting of just 25 bouts, but has won IBF and WBA world titles.
The hard-hitting Russian is a patient boxer, sometimes waiting too long to throw as he tries to get into range to land something substantial, as opposed to tapping away or setting up shots. He leans from side to side looking for openings and to create the torque to throw bigger shots. His body shots are brutal, as he whips his shots across the midriff to maximum effect.
In this matchup, it’s a case of skill vs power, so let’s see which one will prevail.
Pulev is always busy with his mid to long range jabs and one-twos, so he could keep Gassiev at bay with his style of boxing, but the Russian may be able to cover up and absorb it all on his gloves to release powerful shots of his own.
It’s Gassiev who has the power, but Pulev with the experience, ringcraft and IQ. Pulev could win on points if he is able to get through 12 rounds with such a hard puncher.
It’s possible that Pulev will frustrate Gassiev in the early stages, keeping him off his rhythm and balance, not allowing him to set up those big shots, also using his pure heavyweight size and strength against the former cruiserweight. But he is not the most mobile operator, so he is likely to get trapped in areas he doesn’t want to be in.
Gassiev is very patient and confident in his ability, and will look to get his feet within range to land powerful shots that will take their toll on the older man eventually. Pulev has been hurt before; in both his stoppage defeats, he was knocked out or knocked down early, so I believe that Gassiev is going to catch him at some point over the 36 minutes of ring time. It’s difficult to predict when this will come. I would initially say in the later stages, because I would imagine Pulev dictating the opening stages with his pawing style, but Pulev has been dropped early twice before, so a KO could come early, middle or late.
If the fight doesn’t end early, then Pulev could be the more likely to win on the scorecards.
Prediction: Gassiev to win by KO
Extra Tip: Gassiev to win by KO in rounds 7-12
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Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.
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If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.
We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.
WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.
Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.
There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.
As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.
Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.
If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.
This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:
So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.
The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.
Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.
So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.
This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.
It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:
The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.
This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.
For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:
You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.
As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.
We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.
As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.
Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.
| Best Bookies For Boxing | ||
|---|---|---|
![]() | Betfred | Visit |
![]() | Bet365 | Visit |
![]() | Betfair | Visit |