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Katie Taylor by Decision or Technical Decision

Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano III

19/10

Fight to end in a draw

Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano III

16/1

Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano III Fight Preview

Katie Taylor (30-2, 13 KOs) and Amanda Serrano (21-0, 9 KOs) are all set to complete their epic, history-making, record-breaking trilogy this Friday, July 11, live on Netflix.

The superstars will headline Madison Square Garden again, where it all began with their first fight in April 2022, where they made history as the first female fighters to headline the iconic New York venue.

Irelan’s Taylor has won both bouts so far, but Puerto Rican Serrano feels hard done by having outlanded her both times. 

Despite every round being fought on a knife-edge, Taylor has been able to land the more eyecatching shots by reaching in to score quickly and cleanly then dipping back out again.

Most of their exchanges, however, were the opposite of this. These fierce female fighters often fought in a phone booth with incredible ferocity.

The fifth round of their first fight was one of the best rounds in female boxing history. Seven-weight world champion Serrano’s power had the Irish superstar staggering, bloodied and dazed, yet she fought back valiantly.

Taylor’s swift backhand right and ability to roll under a lot of Serrano’s hooks seemed to catch the eye of the ringside judges.

Last November, they ran it back, this time on Netflix, drawing a crowd of 74 million viewers.

It was the same again, 36-year-old Serrano on the front foot aggressively throwing big hooks, Taylor counter-punching on the backfoot.

Taylor’s use of the head was not nice to see, as it appeared to be accidental, but happened far too often, causing a bad cut to Serrano’s right eye, which really impaired her thereafter. Eventually, Taylor was deducted appoint for the use of her head in the ninth round.

The result was announced as 95-94 on all three judges’ cards to two-weight undisputed titlist Taylor, despite Serrano landed 100 more punches and Taylor receiving a point deduction.

After 20 intense rounds, it appears that neither fighter can finish the other off and looks destined to go to points for a third time, which means it’s going to be another incredibly close result.

Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano III Prediction

I believe that Serrano has already landed her biggest body and head shots on Taylor and hasn’t been able to knock her down. She has certainly hurt her more than once and had her staggering around under her proven power, but typically of any Irish fighter, she’s just too tough.

So, despite Serrano being such a big puncher, I don’t think she will stop Taylor, meaning this will go to the scorecards again.

Taylor is quicker, but Serrano is stronger. It’s very possible that with Serrano’s stats outnumbering Taylor’s in both bouts she lost, where she has been the better fighter on paper, that the judges may be a bit kinder towards the southpaw.

But then, what exactly will change after sharing 20 of their best rounds they have ever fought? Will Serrano be able to find something extra to pip Taylor to the post? Hardley likely after already emptying the tank on both occasions.

Both boxers have already given their everything in both contests and Taylor emerged victorious each time – it’s difficult to see what will change this time.

The only factor is that Taylor is now 39 and those 20 taxing rounds could have taken their toll on the Bray boxer.

I expect to see another carbon copy of the first two encounters, with the result also being replicated. I also have my fingers crossed there won’t be any headbutts, cuts or point deductions, wishing for a good, clean, honest fight.

Prediction: Taylor to win on points.

Extra Tip: Fight to end in a draw.

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Free Boxing Betting Tips

Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.

How Much Do The Boxing Tips Cost?

All of the boxing tips currently published on WhichBookie are completely free of charge. Remember to check back regularly and subscribe to our social media channels to be notified of when new free boxing tips are published.

Are Past Tips Archived?

Yes. All tips remain live here on WhichBookie. You can view all past boxing tips here on this page.

Which Bookie Should I Place The Tips With?

If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.

What Stakes Should I Use?

We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.

How Regularly Are Boxing Tips Published?

WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.

Can You Watch Boxing Online?

Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.

How To Bet On Boxing

There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.

Outright / To Win Fight

As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.

Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.

If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.

Fight Outcome / Method of Victory

This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:

• By KO (knockout), TKO (tecnhical knockout) or DQ (opponent disqualified).
• By Decision (on points) or Technical Decision.

So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.

Round Betting

The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.

Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.

So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.

To Go The Distance

This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.

It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:

• Are the fighters evenly matched?
• Do they have a reputation for durability and rarely having been stopped in the past?
• If there is a favourite, is he/she an aggressive boxer or does he/she prefer to wear their opponent down?
• How many of their previous fights have gone the distance?

The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.

Total Rounds Over/Under

This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.

For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:

• If you think the fight will last for 3 rounds or less, you would bet on Under.
• If you think it will last for 4 rounds or more, you would be on Over.

You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.

Where To Get The Best Odds On Boxing

As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.

We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.

As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.

Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.

Best Bookies For Boxing
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