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Date published: January 23, 2025
The latest boxing betting tips from expert analysts. 100% free boxing tips for all of the major fights throughout the year taking place in the various divisions.
Naoya Inoue’s original fight with Sam Goodman appears to have been doomed from the start, having been postponed over a month after the Aussie sustained a cut in sparring, only for the same injury to occur again just 12 days before the new date.
So, in steps 32-year-old South Korean, Ye Joon Kim.
Inoue (28-0, 25KO) and Kim (21-2-2, 13KO) will clash in Tokyo on Friday, January 24, in what is the first big fight of the year so far in 2025.
Pound-for-pound star Inoue defends his undisputed super-bantamweight titles for the third time.
Stand-in opponent Kim is 2-0 on Japanese soil, having stopped Akihiro Matsumoto in nine rounds to win the vacant WBC World Youth super-bantamweight title in 2014, and winning a four-rounder in Tokyo in his sixth professional bout in 2013.
He has won his last two bouts by knockout, since losing Rob Diezel in the States in 2023. His last six victories have all been won by stoppage.
However, he doesn’t possess the same freakish power as Inoue does. Kim is adept at peppering his opponents into submission and is especially clever at finding the right shot to the body.
In his last loss, Kim and Diezel put on an incredible show for the few fans in the Green River College sports hall. They traded back and forth in a phone booth for the entirety of the eight rounds. They both landed hundreds of punches on each other, but neither one could put a dent in the other, however, it was Kim who stunned the local lad in the final rounds with an overhand left from his southpaw stance, but was denied on a hometown decision.
One judge scored it a draw, which was perhaps fair, but the other two at ringside knew which side their bread was buttered and awarded the Washington man the win in Washington.
Ranked WBO #11, Kim is game and tough and likes to fight at close range to sink in body shots and uppercuts, but this will be his undoing against a “Monster” like Inoue.
The four-weight world champion and two-weight undisputed champion is known for his complete boxing skills and freakish strength that earned him the moniker “Monster”.
Th 31-year-old has an 89% KO ratio and has stopped his last nine foes. His recent knockouts have averaged 6.88 rounds, but over his entire professional career, his average KO count is within 5.4 rounds.
My Prediction
In my opinion, Kim will be too inexperienced at this level and too open. He can linger for too long in one position, which Inoue will be able to take advantage of very early on. One big shot from Inoue and this fight will be over within a matter of moments.
Switch-hitter Kim has a very similar style to Manny Pacquiao, almost identical, in fact, throwing shots from down low and putting together lots of hook-uppercut combinations. But it’s a style that also leaves him very open.
Inoue will be able to dictate the range and pace of this fight as the dominant, more skilful fighter. If the energetic Kim wants to go toe-to-toe, then he can, but it will be on Inoue’s terms. The patient puncher will be able to handle, match and trump anything the lively Korean is able to bring to the ring. I also don’t believe that Kim will have enough power to trouble Inoue.
Personally, I can see this fight ending really early, within the first few rounds, but Kim is tough and durable, and very game, so I will give him the credit he deserves and predict Inoue to win by KO in rounds 1-6.
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Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.
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If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.
We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.
WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.
Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.
There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.
As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.
Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.
If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.
This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:
So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.
The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.
Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.
So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.
This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.
It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:
The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.
This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.
For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:
You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.
As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.
We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.
As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.
Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.
| Best Bookies For Boxing | ||
|---|---|---|
 | Betfred | Visit |
 | Bet365 | Visit |
 | Betfair | Visit |
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