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It’s almost time for the yuletide duel between unified world heavyweight champion Oleksandr Usyk (22-0, 13KO) and former two-time world champion Tyson Fury (34-1-1, 24KO).
The two best heavyweights in the world will lock horns back in the Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, where they first clashed 31 weeks ago in May.
It was the Ukrainian who triumphed that night to be crowned this century’s first undisputed heavyweight champion. Their skillsets were so evenly matched that it came down to one single round on the scorecards – the most dramatic round of the fight, round nine, where Usyk managed to score a knockdown, and the 10-8 scoring cost Fury the fight. If the round had been scored 10-9 to Usyk, the result would have been a draw. That’s how close it was.
The first three rounds see-sawed back and forth as each unbeaten champion tried to assert their dominance, and it was the Brit who emerged strongest to win the middle rounds and looked to be heading to victory until Usyk came off his stool in round eight to claw his way back into the contest and then came his biggest round in the ninth. They say, in heavyweight boxing, one punch can change everything, and this was certainly the case in their contest.
Usyk landed his long left hook many times during the bout, but the one that landed on Tyson’s temple in the ninth took his legs away from him. The 36-year-old stumbled backwards for what felt like an eternity until he was held up by the ropes for referee Mark Nelson to deliver a standing count. Usyk dominated the rest of the fight, although Tyson rallied back to take the final round, but it wasn’t enough for him.
Without that knockdown, the three judges would have been split as one for Fury, one for Usyk, and one for the draw. So, the saying “one punch can change everything” really was the truth.
So, 217 days later, how will the rematch go? Usyk is a cerebral fighter, once he has worked out an opponent, then it’s all his way from thereon. But Fury is also intelligent and crafty. And there’s a lot to learn from looking at their respective previous rematches.
Usyk schooled Anthony Joshua in every sense of the word in their first fight in 2019, but AJ was able to make their return fight a lot closer with an improved performance.
When Fury was held to a draw by the fearsome Deontay Wilder at his peak in 2018, decked twice by the power-puncher during the 12 rounds, he vowed to come back stronger and knock the American out, to which no one fully believed would happen. But he was true to his word and gave ‘The Bronze Bomber’ the biggest beatdown of his life, stopping him in the seventh. So there’s an argument there that Fury is the fighter more capable of improvement in rematches, just by judging those two recent examples alone.
But they each have 36 minutes of downloaded data on each other, so which one will be use that info in the most effective way? The answer could come in the first round, as whoever possesses and utilises their greater knowledge will surely be the one to take the lead.
Both boxers were successful during their initial encounter. Fury’s uppercuts were making Usyk blink in surprise and back away, but then his own long-reaching left hook could hardly miss. Tyson would catch a few of them on his gloves and elbows, but he also took very many cleanly.
Fury was a little guilty of letting Usyk off the hook when he appeared vulnerable. He visibly hurt the Ukrainian several times, but didn’t capitalise on his successes. He would land a jolting uppercut then admire it and smile at him instead of following up. With an improved urgency, like he showed against Wilder in 2020, he could make Usyk feel much more uncomfortable and pressured, and that’s certainly one thing that everyone is expecting to be remedied in the rerun.
I am going to back the Brit and show faith in Fury, like I did for the Wilder rematch. If he says he is going to knock Usyk out this time, then I believe him, remembering distinctly how I thought that it was too early for him to challenge Wladimir Klitschko in 2015. He proved me wrong then and I won’t go against him now.
Usyk is favourite to win again, as some believe the Wilder trilogy has taken its toll on the ageing Brit. There’s also the confidence he’ll have knowing he landed the most destructive punch of the first fight and will be looking for that left hook again.
Another scenario, that’s often overlooked, is the fight ending in a draw. There was so little separating the pair before that they could be split once more on the scorecards. If those last 12 rounds were scored on a majority vote system, then it would have been 6-6.
Usyk to win the rematch is favoured at the bookies, but I am picking Fury to win by knockout.
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Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.
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If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.
We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.
WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.
Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.
There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.
As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.
Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.
If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.
This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:
So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.
The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.
Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.
So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.
This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.
It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:
The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.
This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.
For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:
You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.
As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.
We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.
As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.
Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.
Best Bookies For Boxing | ||
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Betfred | Visit | |
Bet365 | Visit | |
Betfair | Visit |