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It’s fair to say that today’s main betting heat, the traditionally valuable and competitive Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle at 3.35 at Ascot, is fiendishly open and cases can be made for all of the 12 runners. Though I think the market has just sided with the obvious profiles a little too much at the current prices.
Greatwood Hurdle 2nd and 3rd Be Aware and Dysart Enos are amongst the favourites and understandably so, but does the 1m7½f trip around Ascot suit both as much as the 2m1f around Cheltenham? That would be a genuine question I would be asking if I had backed either. Maybe the softer ground will help, but I’m still not sure.
I’m still toying with whether Kabral Du Mathan was as impressive as he looked when winning his handicap hurdle debut at Kempton Park last month, as Harry Cobden was showing just a couple of signs of urgency in the third quarter of that race, that makes me feel he might find this test sharp enough too, and that it will be the most ‘rough and tumble’ contest of his career so far.
Favour And Fortune is having his first start of the season and would probably prefer a sounder surface ideally, Steel Ally is genuine but doesn’t look like the quality of horse that should be top weight in a race like this, and thus may have done his winning for the meantime.
Secret Squirrel will run his race but always seems to be a few points shorter in the betting than he should be, while Go Dante goes without the usual cheekpieces, and so there may be a few appealing betting options among some of the bigger prices.
First up is Greatwood Hurdle 6th Fiercely Proud, who has near enough 10 lengths to make up on Be Aware and Dysart Enos from that race but can do so as he was the only horse who looked like getting into the contest that raced around the unfavoured inside of the track that day.
In doing so, he stabilised his season after falling at the second last at Ascot behind Our Champ the time before. At 12/1 with Bet365 or Unibet for 4 places, Fiercely Proud has always had a high level of ability, is closely matched with the Grade 1 runner-up Lump Sum from last season’s form and can outrun his odds on the back of that excellent Greatwood Hurdle run.
Having mentioned the Ascot run when Fiercely Proud fell, it was noticeable that he was still bang there despite being extremely keen but would have been hard pushed to beat Our Champ, who is a horse who continues to run his race, defying handicappers and odds compliers at every step.
Our Champ is rock-solid, will be very much suited to the unique sub-2m test that Ascot provides, and for all that his best form appears to be on a sound surface, I think that may be a red herring as he was bang there until very late on in this season’s Gerry Fielden on ‘good to soft’ and last season’s Betfair Hurdle on ‘heavy’. Both are at Newbury over 2m½f and the combination of that and the long straight just finds his stamina out.
Back at his ideal trip 1½f shorter than Newbury and most suitable track Ascot today, Our Champ is a definite player at 20/1 each-way with Bet365 for 4 places.
On this page, you’ll find top racing tips from our expert horse racing analyst Will Smith, as well as selections from some of the leading national newspaper tipsters.
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